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Dvorak Predicts Apple Will Adopt Windows
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In a surprisingly compelling speculative argument, John C. Dvorak makes the case that Apple will drop OSX and become a hardware vendor shipping with Windows systems. I don't quite believe it, but read the full article before criticizing his argument.
Dvorak also predicted that Apple would switch from IBM to INTEL in 2002 in an article that received the same reception this one has is receiving form apple fans, however, he turned out to be absolutely right.
Apple has way more to gain by dumping their 4 percent of the market, which is made up of die hard niche customers and taking on the remaining 96 percent of pc users by switching to Windows. People seem to forget that Apple is a business, they have no loyalty to anyone and many of the moves they’ve made in the past prove this.
Apple could become the next SONY, making Windows machines, Car stereos and home video/audio components. Also, Apple and Jobs could capitalize on the success of the iPod to make this transition. 95 percent of the people who've purchased iPods could care less about runs inside its portable gadget.
Thus, Dvorak prediction is a genius one. If it doesn't happen it’s simply because of egos between Jobs, Gates and Steve Balmer. As for their businesses it would be the best thing both companies could do.
Jobs has shown in the past that he only cares about providing the best user experience. He doesn't give a dam about the kernel or any of the low level parts of his products. He would easily "switch" to the Windows kernel with a nice Aqua GUI. The end user will hardly notice the difference; it will still have the same rich user experience in Aqua only it will be built using a Windows kernel.
It would be good for Apple because it will increase the compatibility of tons of hardware and software while getting rid of tons of cost in maintaining a kernel team. They keep their user interface (Aqua) team and their competitive advantage by still building the same great user experience.
It would be good for Microsoft because they're being forced to open up a lot of their interfaces because of EU rulings so they might as well license the kernel to other companies instead of have them use the Linux kernel. The longer people use the Windows kernel the better it is for Microsoft. |
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